Appalachian State vs. South Alabama prediction and odds: 2024 college football Week 4 picks based on advanced model

The Sun Belt Conference season kicks off Thursday when the South Alabama Jaguars take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers. Both teams are coming off impressive but very different wins in Week 3. South Alabama cruised to an 87-10 win over FCS side Northwestern State, while Appalachian State topped East Carolina 21-19 on the road. The Jaguars (1-2), who finished 7-6 overall in 2023, tied for second in the Sun Belt West with Texas State and Arkansas State at 4-4, three games behind Troy. The Mountaineers (2-1), who finished second to James Madison at 6-2 in the Sun Belt East, went 9-5 overall a year ago.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, N.C. The Mountaineers are 7.5-point favorites in the latest South Alabama vs. Appalachian State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 62.5. Before making any Appalachian State vs. South Alabama picks, Check out the SportsLine Projection Model's college football predictions.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on their top-rated bets. College football predictions against the spread. He's also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks and is off to a 5-2 start on over/under picks this season. Anyone who has followed him has seen strong returns.

The model has set her sights on South Alabama vs. Appalachian StateYou can head to SportsLine for see your selections Here are several College Football Betting Lines For the spread, money line and over/under of the game:

• South Alabama vs. Appalachian State spread: Appalachian State -7.5
• South Alabama vs. Appalachian State: Over/Under: 62.5 points
• South Alabama vs. Appalachian State moneyline: Appalachian State -279, South Alabama +221
• SA: The Jaguars have reached the total in eight of their last 13 games (+2.50 points)
• APS: The Mountaineers have reached the under total in nine of their last 14 games (+3.50 points)
• Predictions for South Alabama vs. Appalachian State: See picks at SportsLine

Why should you support Appalachian State?

Junior running back Anderson Castle has emerged as a dual threat on offense. He leads the Mountaineers in rushing with 148 yards on 33 carries (4.5 average) and one touchdown. Castle is also the team’s fifth-leading receiver with eight receptions for 52 yards (6.5 average). In parts of five seasons for Appalachian State, he has carried the ball 176 times for 938 yards (5.3 average) and eight touchdowns.

Senior quarterback Joey Aguilar runs the offense. In three games this season, he has completed 72 of 124 passes (58.1%) for 964 yards and five touchdowns. He has two interceptions, but has a 133.4 rating. He has also carried the ball 15 times for 44 yards (2.9 average) and two touchdowns. In two seasons with the Mountaineers, he has thrown for 4,721 yards and 38 touchdowns with just 12 interceptions for a 147.8 rating. See which team to choose here.

Why should you support South Alabama?

Freshman Fluff Bothwell is off to a solid start to his college career. In three games, he has carried the ball just 23 times for 243 yards (10.6 average) and four touchdowns. In last Thursday's win over Northwestern State, he carried the ball seven times for 143 yards (20.4 average) and two touchdowns. He had 10 carries for 70 yards and a score in a 27-20 loss at Ohio on Sept. 7.

On defense, the Jaguars have been led by second-year linebacker Blayne Myrick. He has recorded 25 tackles, including nine solo, with one forced fumble and one pass deflection. In the loss to Ohio, he made 10 stops, including six solo, and forced one fumble. In limited playing time over the past two seasons, Myrick has recorded 32 stops, including 15 solo, with one forced fumble and one pass deflection. See which team to choose here.

How to make predictions for South Alabama vs. Appalachian State

SportsLine's model leans toward the total. It also says one side of the spread wins in more than 50% of simulations. You can only get the selection at SportsLine.

So who wins South Alabama vs. Appalachian State, and which side of the spread wins in more than 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the South Alabama vs. Appalachian State spread you should bet on, all from the advanced model that's up more than $2,000 on its FBS college football picks since its inception. and find out.